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LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

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The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with statement successes into this Saturdays game.
LSU moved to Texas and defeat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take a spot in the race more than into College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 with three INTs, into creating bad decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the best offensive launching in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college soccer. That contains the 45 they dropped on Texas on the road.
Together with the roar of Death Valley anticipating the Gators come in as underdogs on BetNow. Can the No. cover the spread and 5 shield keep this near? Or will the No. 2 passing crime and Burrow keep rolling up and likewise win the bet? Heres the full breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in the ability of Burrow . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal that can fill the spot. Its all part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit theyve played all season. Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU competitors: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, although its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of the caliber of Burrow. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on uneven so far in the other corner spot, but has a high ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will confront a menacing pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as best is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the QB need to enhance his consciousness in the pocket, he has to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup. Auburns ranks 11th in defensive line yards, and is the finest in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is 85th in sack rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask his game off. The Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He sprained a knee in the match and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
With the LBs involved in the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is frequently considered DBU for the gift they have on the perimeter of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, if not more, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him will be Kristian Fulton, who permitted the smallest quantity of first downs out of returning FBS corners. It will be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, who has not got their running game this season, going. broke a tackle at the line on his approach into a 88-yard TD run. Despite this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also is currently going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats including Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky game.
It places ways strain on Trask at a hostile environment, When they dont get Perine or even Dameon Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned respect following week from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win against LSU, I really do see this game remaining than many.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to install 45 or something close to this. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will probably work out over time, since they far too much to alter the wave in games have been relied upon by the group. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from Jefferson or the Chase to some late-game PIs.
However, I dont expect this. Keeping the game in a lot of a slog till afterward makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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